Is Russia's military weakened?

Is Russia’s military weakened?

On the surface, Russia’s military still projects strength, but behind the façade, cracks have emerged—particularly evident in its ongoing operations. While it continues to sustain a high operational tempo, the quality of its forces tells a more complicated story.

A rigid command structure has hampered battlefield adaptability. Decisions flow slowly from the top, leaving frontline units with little room to respond to fast-changing situations. This lack of flexibility has cost Russia dearly in both momentum and manpower.

Years of attrition have weakened its corps of trained and professional troops. What once included a core of seasoned units has given way to a force increasingly reliant on conscripts and hastily trained recruits. This shift has affected combat effectiveness, especially in complex offensives requiring precision and coordination.

Russia’s reliance on high-casualty tactics—such as waves of poorly protected infantry supported by overwhelming artillery, has drawn international criticism and exposed a troubling disregard for soldier safety. These tactics may achieve short-term territorial gains, but they erode long-term sustainability and morale.

Still, it would be premature to label the Russian military as broken. Since 2022, it has undergone significant battlefield-driven reforms: improving logistics, decentralizing some command functions, and ramping up domestic arms production. These adjustments suggest a military adapting under pressure, not one collapsing.

Looking ahead to mid-2026, Russia shows no signs of slowing. Despite structural weaknesses, its ability to absorb losses and maintain pressure means it remains a formidable force, one that continues to evolve, even in the face of heavy cost.